Paper trading · game-log form model
Props Lab
A model built only from trailing game logs — recent form, rest, home court — paper-traded against PrizePicks morning lines. No real wagers, ever. Below: last season's full walk-forward backtest, then the live paper ledger once the regular season starts.
2025–26 regular season · frozen
Walk-forward backtest
Loading gate result…
Edge-rule equity curve (locked rule, eval half)
Edge rule by month
| Month | Plays | W | ROI | Cum. profit |
|---|
Model vs line, mean absolute error by stat
| Stat | Lines | Model MAE | Line MAE |
|---|
2026–27 · live ledger
Paper trades
Open picks
No open picks.
Recently graded
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